A bit of coronavirus.
First, adequate feedback!
Very competent reasoning
From me - a therapist who survived any one or two of flu epidemics and acute respiratory viral infections (flu when it was impossible to indicate a diagnosis of "flu"), as well as the outbreak of diphtheria in the Northwestern Federal District. The latter was extremely unpleasant and got on my very first experience as much as not prisposobennyh conditions for this community health.
Some of my colleagues while sick, but my post today - about coronavirus covid-2019.
Already many times I meet in social networks is extremely naive hopes of inhabitants to self-isolation and quarantine:
- We are having stayed home! The virus does not find us!
And then they echo the media with Zapevalov from alleged medical community: do not infect and does not infect! Sit at home! So we will win!
In fact, the viral pandemic - is not a Tatar-Mongol raid, hiding most of the house and to deceive the virus is not possible.
There has long been known epidemiological rules:
While 50% of the population have not been ill, or will not be vaccinated against a particular strain of respiratory infection (and they tend to be constantly changing, they also want to live, they adapt) - a pandemic will not stop !!!
Working rule: "before you sit - before go out," ie, faster and Mass will perebolevaet people on earth ball, the easier it will be created immune layer refractory having immunity due to disease or vaccination. And the easier and easier it will take place this viral infection in each individual. This applies to infections transmitted by airborne droplets.
Quarantine reduces the burden on local health and allows you to get sick, not all at once, but as it is stretched over time. And simultaneously issue back into society convalescents, saturating immune interlayer. Quarantine somewhat reduces the total number of cases, but the figure is 50% or more of iron works in all cases of epidemics, so that it is possible to leave the apartment in 2-3 weeks and become ill with a delay.
Since the vaccine is still in the making, and its effectiveness is unknown - the panic-mongers need zatarivatsya buckwheat in a bunker and toilet paper for about a year to start.
Quarantine directly shown to certain categories of people with health problems, which in the case of any serious viral respiratory infection (the same flu, for example) would have a high risk of severe conditions or death. It's not just the elderly, and those who have the disease burden for strategic organs - heart, lungs, blood vessels and kidneys. They all carry heavier fever, rise in pressure, a lack of oxygen because of irregularities in gas exchange in the lungs.
Therefore, such people need to sit at home and wait for the others - a more healthy, will work on himself is a kind of virus and create herd immunity (zaguglit the term themselves).
Often they write that allegedly covid-2019 does not strike children and young people. However, it is likely that children and young people are easily perebolevayut the virus, virtually unnoticed by loved ones and even more so for the rest of society and doctors. Easy low-grade fever, coughed a little and the next day - healthy. Thus formed the very immune layer, which saves the rest.
Countries such as South Korea and China, to cope successfully with the virus through quarantine and isolation of cases, have a very real risk of a second, a third wave covid-2019 and so on until, until after all the majority of the population does not meet with the virus. Epidemiology laws work the same everywhere.
Well, what about mechanical ventilation and ECMO apparatus needs - oxygenation of the blood. The fact that we supposedly all going to die from lack of these devices, and how the speed of light spread another horror of dying of old Italians in intensive care without most of these devices ... And about urgent procurement of these devices Moscow City Hall.
Dear friends! Feature covid-2019 as well as its predecessor SARS -2003, as MERS-CoV in 2012 - in particular lung disease, it is true. The virus affects the alveoli - the unit of light, which is engaged in enriching the blood with oxygen. And resuscitation equipment can to some extent take over the function of the lungs.
But not all the other functions of the body! Who also suffer and may refuse to severe cases in predisposed patients.
Then it is necessary to be procured even hemodialysis machines to support kidney function, heart-lung machine to support heart function in patients with severe covid-2019 and surrounded by each of these devices, etc. etc. what really makes the discussion of real help to a farce.
Will survive the one who has enough on it's own forces in the presence of medical support. But the sad truth is that the category of heavy patients get just those with initially a problem with the in-house due to chronic diseases. And% mortality and complications in this group will always be high.
Good information is that as a% of all infected GROUP severe patients - to very small, and it is they need resuscitation support to the notorious ventilator. All the others suffer mild or moderate, without moving in the intensive care unit. Or do not get sick at all.
All a person get in contact with the sick?
In the virus the ability to infect influenza (index of virulence), 2-3, in koronavirsua covid-2019 this index was 3-4, and 12-16 from measles. Measles is far more contagious!
This means that if transport you coughed ill - infected not all the polls, but only the number of the person to whom flew drops who breathed them in their mucous who do not take urgent preventive measures (does not wash, do not wash the eyes and nose not sprinkled a Miramistin not smeared nose oxolinic ointment, and so on and so on) and one's immune system this virus ceteris paribus could not overcome at the entrance.
Can you get from a family member, which is in contact with the patient, and you are afraid that he brought the virus "on themselves" if obkashlyali his clothes, his briefcase, his face, etc.?
- from the moment of contact it took 3-4 hours or more (the persistence of the virus outside the body about 3-4 hours)
- come home he took off his clothes, washed, washed his hands, washed his nose and gargle (special doubting and worrying - sprinkle his nostrils and throat antiseptics and smear the nasal passages antiviral ointments)
- you do not become pripadat who came to the chest, hugging and kissing him before he did the necessary procedures above
- briefcase, handbag, wallet and other items, which could somehow get droplets from an infected or wait of 3-4 hours, or wiped with disinfectant wipes (which are simply washed down the toilet)
Explanations about the timing of virus survival: a period of 3-4 hours (+ -) - if a virus was on the cloth, paper and in general a surface that absorbs. The virus needs a liquid moisture. In dry conditions, it dies. If the surface does not absorb (plastic, metal) - write that can persist for up to 72 hours. But this is under ideal conditions, where he was quite humid and warm. In the conditions of drying in the wind, the cold, etc. - die much faster.
And mechanical ventilation does not kill the virus. He is even with ventilator-ohm, even without him in the human body is as long as it can not cope with his immune system in drug support. Which - the same question, because different antiviral drugs currently used in the test mode.
I do appreciate what is happening as a sort of international-induced psychosis. Like a giant experiment on humanity management. Because the real risks to civilization in general, this virus has not, from him die in% are very few cases, in fact, comparable with the figures of mortality for influenza. About that in previous years, the media sometimes alluded to without the slightest hint of mass hysteria.
VIRUS COVID-2019 is not dangerous for the majority!
However, all the world's media were involved in the process of zombies on the principle of compulsive funnel and strongly contribute to the psychic epidemic of unprecedented proportions! That there is a failure of the chief editor of one of the Italian newspapers on request not to be placed on the front pages of the obituaries when he was approached by citizens with a scream - you our elderly relatives such publications are summarized in the grave! - he replied that it is more important "to pay tribute to the victims." Died from infection, not on the battlefield to defend the Fatherland ...
Panic and fear greatly to the distribution and weighting incidence of viral infections, because while fear produces a lot of the stress hormone - cortisol.
He literally paralyzes the immune system, suppresses the mechanisms for the protection and control of: inhibits the synthesis of T- and B-lifotsitov (synthesis of protective antibodies), violates the activation of macrophages (cells that attack viruses) and the production of interleukin (couriers between the parts of the immune system). And endorphins - hormones of joy and satisfaction - activate the immune system and protect blood vessels, the load which is so high in infections.
Do not panic, take reasonable precautions and remember that Knowledge - force!
Reassure your loved ones, perhaps they are already ill covid-2019 coronavirus mild and do not know it. We have a huge country and close contacts with China, which certainly led to the spread of the virus in November 2019 on the whole territory of the Russian Federation. And the mass deaths, thank God for all the 5 months of the pandemic have not been observed.
Everything will be fine except that buckwheat is not quickly fall in price (((